Deborah Chiesa vs Lucija Ciric BagaricPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Deborah Chiesa
#328 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
52 meetings · sets 4–1
🇭🇷Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#360 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
Deborah Chiesa and Lucija Ciric Bagaric have met 2 times since 2026; Deborah Chiesa leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brescia in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Chiesa leads 2–0. Chiesa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chiesa has taken 4 sets to Bagaric's 1. Their most recent meeting: Deborah Chiesa won at W35 Tarvisio (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chiesa | Ciric Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Deborah Chiesa | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 34/44 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 18/65 | 30% | 15/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 26/41 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 38/41 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 66% | 19/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chiesa 1, Ciric Bagaric 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chiesa
👑 The Complete Package
Bagaric
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Deborah Chiesa.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
W35 Tarvisio
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2026
Brescia
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chiesa | Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Deborah Chiesa | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 3 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.78 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | -44.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.10u | -5.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ITA → POR → ESP | POR → DEN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chiesa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Bagaric's 20%).
| Opponent | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Jana Kovackova | L 57 57 | L 26 46 |
| Lina Gjorcheska | W 67 63 63 | L 61 16 06 |
| Federica Urgesi | L 46 26 | L 46 16 |
| Maria Toma | W 60 62 | W 62 63 |
| Mia Ristic | L 57 63 46 | L 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jana Kovackova
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Eva Bennemann
W75 Koksijde · 1st Round
Aug 5
Yasmine Kabbaj
Palermo Ladies Open - Palermo · 1st Round
Jul 20
Lucia Bronzetti
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Lola Radivojevic
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Lina Gjorcheska
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 13
Radka Zelnickova
W35 Tarvisio · Final
Jun 27
Elena Milovanovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 25
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Francesca Jones
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rachel Gailis
Axeria Open - Targu Mures · 1st Round
Jul 28
Federica Urgesi
W75 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 7
Maria Toma
W35 Tarvisio · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Deborah Chiesa
W35 Tarvisio · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–65 matches
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 48% |
| Sets won | 65% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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