Deborah Chiesa vs Lucija Ciric BagaricPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Deborah Chiesa
#345 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–5
🇭🇷Lucija Ciric Bagaric
#402 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
5Deborah Chiesa and Lucija Ciric Bagaric have met 4 times since 2026; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Internazionali Femminili - Brescia in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Bagaric has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chiesa has taken 6 sets to Bagaric's 5. Their most recent meeting: Lucija Ciric Bagaric won at Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chiesa | Ciric Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Deborah Chiesa | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 36/47 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 22/72 | 29% | 17/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 27/48 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 42/48 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 36/48 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chiesa 1, Ciric Bagaric 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chiesa
👑 The Complete Package
Bagaric
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 🎾 All-Court across 789 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Deborah Chiesa.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 14, 2026
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7, 2026
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25, 2026
W35 Tarvisio
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2026
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chiesa | Bagaric | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Deborah Chiesa | Lucija Ciric Bagaric | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–9 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -67.3% | +2.7% |
| Units P/L | -8.07u | +0.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | MNE | ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Chiesa and Bagaric posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Jana Kovackova | L 57 57 | L 26 46 |
| Federica Urgesi | L 46 26 | L 46 16 |
| Maria Toma | W 60 62 | W 62 63 |
| Mia Ristic | L 57 63 46 | L 16 16 |
| Carolin Raschdorf | W 61 46 62 | W 46 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lisa Zaar
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Marta Lombardini
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Lucija Ciric Bagaric
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Diana Martynov
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Jana Kovackova
W50 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Anastasia Zolotareva
W50 Hamburg · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dalila Jakupovic
Samsun Open - Samsun · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Laura Samson
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 1st Round
Sep 15
Deborah Chiesa
Zavarovalnica Triglav - Ljubljana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Gabriella Price
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round
Sep 8
Deborah Chiesa
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Jule Niemeier
Montreux Nestle Open - Montreux · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Elena Milovanovic
W50 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 25
Darya Astakhova
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–72 matches
| Metric | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 51% |
| Sets won | 63% | 52% |
| Games won | 58% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 1 | 2 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chiesa | Bagaric |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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