Dayne Kelly vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dayne Kelly and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2023; Dayne Kelly leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kelly has taken 2 sets to Nakagawa's 1. Their most recent meeting: Dayne Kelly won at Burnie Challenger (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kelly | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayne Kelly | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 68% | 13/19 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 29% | 4/14 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 30% | 10/33 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 52% | 11/21 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 75% | 9/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 50% | 4/8 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 89% | 16/18 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 72% | 13/18 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kelly 0, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kelly
👑 The Complete Package
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 31, 2023
Burnie Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.93 |
| ROI % | - | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Masur
Gwangju · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 1
Seonyong Han
Gwangju · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 30
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Seoul · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 24
Sanhui Shin
Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Nikola Milojevic
Pune · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 27
Sidharth Rawat
Pune · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 26
Yun seong Chung
Bengaluru · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 19
James McCabe
Burnie Challenger · 2nd Round
Feb 2
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–33 matches
| Metric | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 58% |
| Sets won | - | 55% |
| Games won | - | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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