Dayne Kelly vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dayne Kelly and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2023; Dayne Kelly leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kelly has taken 2 sets to Nakagawa's 1. Their most recent meeting: Dayne Kelly won at Burnie (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kelly | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayne Kelly | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 74% | 14/19 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 35% | 6/17 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 31% | 11/36 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 52% | 12/23 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 77% | 10/13 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 43% | 3/7 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 80% | 16/20 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 70% | 14/20 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kelly 0, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kelly
💥 Big Hitter
Nakagawa
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 31, 2023
Burnie
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.15 |
| ROI % | - | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Masur
Gwangju · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 1
Seonyong Han
Gwangju · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 30
Yasutaka Uchiyama
Seoul · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 24
Sanhui Shin
Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 23
Nikola Milojevic
Pune · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 27
Sidharth Rawat
Pune · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 26
Yun seong Chung
Bengaluru · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 19
James McCabe
Burnie · Round of 16
Feb 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–36 matches
| Metric | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 53% |
| Sets won | - | 53% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kelly | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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