Dayana Yastremska vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 6–6
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Dayana Yastremska and Shuai Zhang have met 5 times since 2018; Shuai Zhang leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Yastremska leads 2–1. On grass courts Zhang leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zhang leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 6. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 7/21 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 2, Zhang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 17, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2022
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard · Final
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Oct 13, 2018
Hong Kong
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | -14.7% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Zhang posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Lucrezia Stefanini | L 36 64 16 | W 62 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 61 62 | L 36 26 |
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 46 | W |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 36 26 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 46 76 | W 26 76 75 |
| Talia Gibson | W 76 76 | L 16 46 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | W 62 75 | W 64 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–63 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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