Dayana Yastremska vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπ¦Dayana Yastremska
#112 Β· 26 yrs Β· Right-Handed
35 meetings Β· sets 6β6

π¨π³Shuai Zhang
#53 Β· 37 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4Dayana Yastremska and Shuai Zhang have met 5 times since 2018; Shuai Zhang leads 3β2. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Yastremska leads 2β1. On grass courts Zhang leads 2β0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zhang leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Yastremska has taken 6 sets to Zhang's 6. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Yastremska | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dayana Yastremska | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 27% | 7/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 14/39 | 31% | 18/59 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 7/19 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Yastremska 2, Zhang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Yastremska
π₯ Big Hitter
Zhang
π― Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs π― Baseliner across 330 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jun 17, 2022
Viking Classic - Birmingham
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 6, 2022
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard Β· Final
Jul 4, 2019
Wimbledon
G Grass Β· Round of 16
Oct 13, 2018
Hong Kong
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Yastremska | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dayana Yastremska | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3β5 | 6β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 3.16 |
| ROI % | -51.6% | -9.2% |
| Units P/L | -4.13u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,304 mi Β· 2,098 km | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km |
| Route | POL β AUT | CAN β POL β AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Yastremska and Zhang posted a 43% win rate.
| Opponent | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | W 75 46 63 | L 57 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 64 46 46 | L 57 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 64 57 | L 36 26 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 46 76 | W 26 76 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 64 57 67 | W 64 61 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 26 64 75 | W 64 57 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 76 36 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alicia Dudeney
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Ajla Tomljanovic
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 2nd Round
Jun 12
Sara Bejlek
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 3
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Bianca Andreescu
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β59 matches
| Metric | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 56% |
| Sets won | 47% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Yastremska | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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