David Goffin vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇪David Goffin
#310 · 35 yrs · R
10w4 meetings · sets 6–3

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wDavid Goffin and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2019; David Goffin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Phoenix in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–0. Across all meetings Goffin has taken 6 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Goffin | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | David Goffin | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 5/8 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 10/22 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 1/7 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 11/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 6/9 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Goffin 2, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 8, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 23, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 7, 2019
Phoenix
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.68 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -2.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–47 matches
| Metric | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 55% |
| Sets won | 43% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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