David Goffin vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇧🇪David Goffin
#467 · 35 yrs · R
44 meetings · sets 6–3

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wDavid Goffin and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2019; David Goffin leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Phoenix in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–0. Across all meetings Goffin has taken 6 sets to Baena's 3. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Goffin | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | David Goffin | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 6/17 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 20% | 1/5 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 3/6 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Goffin 2, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 8, 2022
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 23, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 7, 2019
Phoenix
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–2 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.00u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 461 mi · 742 km | — |
| Route | FRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Mark Lajal
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–46 matches
| Metric | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 24% | 52% |
| Sets won | 33% | 52% |
| Games won | 44% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Goffin | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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