Daniel Rincon vs Matej DodigPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Rincon and Matej Dodig have met 1 time since 2025; Daniel Rincon leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 2 sets to Dodig's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Rincon won at Prague (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Matej Dodig | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 57% | 24/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/65 | 43% | 28/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 15/35 | 46% | 19/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 15/27 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 89% | 32/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 67% | 24/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 0, Dodig 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Dodig
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 4, 2025
Prague
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Dodig | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Matej Dodig | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 58% | 11/19 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 17–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -8.1% | +16.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | +3.54u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,315 mi · 2,117 km | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rincon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dodig's 50%).
| Opponent | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Damas | W 62 46 62 | W 64 61 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 67 64 36 | L 57 64 26 |
| Manas Dhamne | W 63 64 | L 57 64 16 |
| Johan Nikles | L 26 67 | W 63 60 |
| Lorenzo Giustino | W 62 64 | L 64 57 67 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 76 61 | W 36 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Laslo Djere
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Fausto Tabacco
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dino Prizmic
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Titouan Droguet
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hamish Stewart
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Lukas Neumayer
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Marvin Moeller
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Miguel Damas
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Andrea Pellegrino
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alexander Zverev
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 65% |
| Sets won | 53% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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