Daniel Rincon vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธDaniel Rincon
#208 ยท 23 yrs ยท L
4w31 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3TitleDaniel Rincon and Jan Choinski have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 0 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Braunschweig Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 20/34 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 26/28 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 0, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 18โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | +5.88u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km |
| Route | GER | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Rincon's 56%).
| Opponent | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Zsombor Piros | L 67 06 | W 76 76 |
| Laslo Djere | W 67 64 63 | L 67 67 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 64 64 | W 64 64 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | L 26 06 | W 64 64 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 46 57 | W 75 64 |
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | W 76 75 | L 46 64 46 |
| Miguel Damas | W 62 46 62 | W 46 64 64 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 76 61 | W 62 46 75 |
| Henri Squire | L 06 16 | W 67 75 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Zug Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Thomas Faurel
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Hazem Naw
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Laslo Djere
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Sebastian Ofner
Braunschweig Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ78 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 63% |
| Sets won | 53% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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