Daniel Rincon vs Hamish StewartPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Rincon and Hamish Stewart have met 1 time since 2025; Daniel Rincon leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 2 sets to Stewart's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Rincon won at Manacor Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rennes Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 14 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.62 or longer, Hamish Stewart has won 5 of 10 (50%). The price implied 30%, so Hamish Stewart has beaten it by 20 points.
At 1.43 or shorter, Daniel Rincon has won 32 of 45 (71%). That is level with the 71% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniel Rincon meets Hamish Stewart in the 1st Round of the Rennes Challenger on September 15, a hard court encounter between two players ranked well outside the top 200. Rincon sits at 253 in the world, Stewart at 371. The two have met once before, with Rincon taking that match.
Stewart has posted stronger hard court numbers across a sample span, winning 65% of those matches compared to Rincon's 55%. However, their trajectories diverge sharply in the weeks leading up to this fixture. Rincon has played four matches in the past two weeks and won two of his last five outings. Stewart has been idle for over two months and has won just one of his last five.
Rincon operates as a counterpuncher, comfortable absorbing pace and redirecting from deep in the court. Stewart is a big hitter who relies on aggressive shot-making from the baseline. The match will test whether Rincon's recent match sharpness and defensive positioning can contain Stewart's power, or if Stewart's return from a long layoff allows him to dictate points and impose his game on hard court.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Stewart | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Hamish Stewart | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 20/36 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 6/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 22/63 | 34% | 22/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 51% | 21/41 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 27/29 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 79% | 30/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 0, Stewart 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Stewart
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,772 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2025
Manacor Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Stewart | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Hamish Stewart | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +34.6% | -23.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.93u | -1.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 4,217 mi · 6,786 km | — |
| Route | USA → ESP → FRA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Rincon and Stewart posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | W 46 61 62 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ugo Blanchet
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Manas Dhamne
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Daniil Glinka
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Tomas Barrios Vera
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Jordan Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Titouan Droguet
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paul Inchauspe
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Iliyan Radulov
M25 Roda de Bara · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Pablo Aunion
M25 Roda de Bara · 1st Round
Jul 6
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Aleksandar Vukic
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Emilio Nava
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Rio Noguchi
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Keegan Smith
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 66% |
| Sets won | 53% | 63% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Stewart |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |