Daniel Rincon vs Facundo Diaz AcostaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธDaniel Rincon
#208 ยท 23 yrs ยท L
4w32 meetings ยท sets 1โ4

๐ฆ๐ทFacundo Diaz Acosta
#82 ยท 25 yrs ยท L
4wTitleDaniel Rincon and Facundo Diaz Acosta have met 2 times since 2024; Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Acosta leads 2โ0. Acosta has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 1 sets to Acosta's 4. Their most recent meeting: Facundo Diaz Acosta won at Milan Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Diaz Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 20/34 | 61% | 35/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 39% | 31/79 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 26/28 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 74% | 35/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 0, Diaz Acosta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Acosta
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Rincon and Facundo Diaz Acosta are โ๏ธ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Milan Challenger
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Apr 15, 2024
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Acosta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Facundo Diaz Acosta | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 9% | 2/22 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 18โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | -1.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.88u | -0.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | GER | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Acosta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rincon's 33%).
| Opponent | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 46 76 36 | W 62 46 61 |
| Miguel Damas | W 62 46 62 | W 16 63 60 |
| Henri Squire | L 06 16 | W 46 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Zug Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Thomas Faurel
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Hazem Naw
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Laslo Djere
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Sebastian Ofner
Braunschweig Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Forti
San Marino Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Tommaso Compagnucci
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Bublik
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Cina
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Lautaro Midon
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ81 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 72% |
| Sets won | 53% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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