Daniel Rincon vs Denis YevseyevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev have met 5 times since 2021; Daniel Rincon leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Alicante in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Yevseyev leads 2–1. On clay courts Rincon leads 2–0. Rincon has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 7 sets to Yevseyev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Rincon won at Prague (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Yevseyev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Denis Yevseyev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 22/37 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 37% | 14/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/65 | 41% | 29/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 15/35 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 15/27 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 13/25 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 64% | 18/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 2, Yevseyev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Yevseyev
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2025
Prague
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 21, 2025
Glasgow Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 26, 2024
Maia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 27, 2022
Segovia Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2021
Alicante
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Yevseyev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Denis Yevseyev | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 5 or more | 79% | 15/19 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | -8.1% | -18.9% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | -2.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,315 mi · 2,117 km | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rincon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (29% vs Yevseyev's 14%).
| Opponent | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| David Jorda Sanchis | L 36 46 | L 57 26 |
| Zsombor Piros | L 67 06 | L 16 26 |
| Gerard Campana Lee | W 60 60 | L 36 06 |
| Dali Blanch | L 26 26 | L 67 16 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | L 26 06 | L 36 64 06 |
| Johan Nikles | L 26 67 | W 46 61 63 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | W 36 62 75 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pedro Martinez
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Laslo Djere
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Fausto Tabacco
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dino Prizmic
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Titouan Droguet
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hamish Stewart
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Petr Bar Biryukov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hanyi Liu
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Svyatoslav Gulin
Augsburg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Mirza Basic
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 46% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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