Daniel Rincon vs Denis YevseyevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธDaniel Rincon
#208 ยท 23 yrs ยท L
4w35 meetings ยท sets 7โ5

๐ฐ๐ฟDenis Yevseyev
#440 ยท 33 yrs ยท R
Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev have met 5 times since 2021; Daniel Rincon leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Alicante in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Yevseyev leads 2โ1. On clay courts Rincon leads 2โ0. Rincon has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Rincon has taken 7 sets to Yevseyev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Rincon won at Prague (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rincon | Yevseyev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Rincon | Denis Yevseyev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 20/34 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 42% | 16/38 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 45% | 32/71 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 42% | 14/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 26/28 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rincon 2, Yevseyev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rincon
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Yevseyev
๐งฑ The Wall
Matchup analysis
The โ๏ธ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Rincon.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2025
Prague
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 21, 2025
Glasgow Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 26, 2024
Maia Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 27, 2022
Segovia Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Oct 11, 2021
Alicante
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rincon | Yevseyev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Rincon | Denis Yevseyev | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 4โ10 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 2.35 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | -58.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.88u | -8.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | GER | TUR โ GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rincon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Yevseyev's 17%).
| Opponent | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Zsombor Piros | L 67 06 | L 16 26 |
| Gerard Campana Lee | W 60 60 | L 36 06 |
| Dali Blanch | L 26 26 | L 67 16 |
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | L 26 06 | L 36 64 06 |
| Johan Nikles | L 26 67 | W 46 61 63 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | W 36 62 75 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
Hagen Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
San Marino Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Zug Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Thomas Faurel
Zug Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
Hazem Naw
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Laslo Djere
Braunschweig Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Sebastian Ofner
Braunschweig Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Jannik Maute
M25 Ueberlingen ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Matteo Covato
M25 Ueberlingen ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Matej Dodig
Hamburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Vadym Ursu
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Tuncay Duran
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Guy Den Ouden
Bunschoten Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Gerard Campana Lee
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 60โ71 matches
| Metric | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 46% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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