Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Michalski and Lorenzo Carboni have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Michalski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Michalski has taken 2 sets to Carboni's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Michalski won at Todi Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michalski | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 33/45 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 7/26 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 19/71 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 24/40 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michalski 1, Carboni 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michalski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Carboni
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniel Michalski.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2026
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michalski | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.83 |
| ROI % | -28.6% | -69.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.71u | -4.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | POL → ITA → POL | BUL → ITA → SUI |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michalski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Carboni's 38%).
| Opponent | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Chepelev | W 46 63 60 | L 16 46 |
| Phil Dungs | W 61 64 | W 62 61 |
| Francesco Forti | L 67 46 | L 75 67 16 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 62 46 | L 36 16 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Sebastiano Cocola | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Arthur Gea | L 36 67 | L 57 67 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 62 26 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Poznan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Matyas Cerny
M25 Poznan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Jan Wygona
M25 Poznan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Franco Ribero
M25 Poznan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jan Sadzik
M15 Krakow · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tom Zeuch
M15 Krakow · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Lorenzo Berto
M15 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nikola Keremedchiev
M15 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Noah Karma
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Ulrich
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Arthur Bellegy
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Daniel Michalski
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gabriele Crivellaro
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–71 matches
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 49% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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