Daniel Michalski vs Lorenzo CarboniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Michalski and Lorenzo Carboni have met 2 times since 2026; Daniel Michalski leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Todi Challenger in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Michalski leads 2–0. Michalski has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Michalski has taken 4 sets to Carboni's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Michalski won at M25 Santa Margherita di Pula (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Michalski | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 31/41 | 71% | 24/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/66 | 32% | 21/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 7/14 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 76% | 31/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 31/41 | 59% | 24/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Michalski 2, Carboni 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Michalski
⚔️ The Gladiator
Carboni
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Michalski and Lorenzo Carboni are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2026
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 11, 2026
Todi Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Michalski | Carboni | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Michalski | Lorenzo Carboni | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 22/26 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 6/26 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 22–5 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -5.7% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.53u | -5.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Michalski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Carboni's 43%).
| Opponent | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Ivan Ivanov | W 61 46 61 | W 75 61 |
| Phil Dungs | W 61 64 | W 62 61 |
| Jelle Sels | W | W 64 64 |
| Francesco Forti | L 67 46 | L 75 67 16 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 46 62 46 | L 36 16 |
| Arthur Gea | L 36 67 | L 57 67 |
| Yuta Shimizu | W 62 26 63 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Weis
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Oct 11
Ivan Ivanov
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Oct 10
Giovanni Oradini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alessandro Bellifemine
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Lorenzo Bocchi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Laurent Lokoli
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Final
Sep 26
Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Semifinals
Sep 25
Lorenzo Carboni
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Federico Iannaccone
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Sander Jong
M25 Zaragoza · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zaragoza · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jaume Casas Blasi
M25 Zaragoza · 1st Round
Sep 29
Daniel Michalski
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 21
Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–66 matches
| Metric | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 60% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Michalski | Carboni |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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