Daniel Merida vs Mikhail KukushkinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Mikhail Kukushkin have met 2 times since 2024; Mikhail Kukushkin leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 3 Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Kukushkin leads 2–0. Kukushkin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Merida has taken 0 sets to Kukushkin's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mikhail Kukushkin won at Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Kukushkin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Mikhail Kukushkin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 22% | 10/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 91% | 21/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 87% | 20/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 0, Kukushkin 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kukushkin
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2025
Doha
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1, 2024
Tenerife 3 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | - |
| ROI % | +10.6% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Merida and Kukushkin posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Lajal | L 26 26 | L 67 76 67 |
| Billy Harris | W 63 75 | W 76 75 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 61 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Damir Dzumhur
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mark Lajal
Wuxi Challenger · 2nd Round
May 6
Tianhui Zhang
Wuxi Challenger · 1st Round
May 4
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Coleman Wong
Jiujiang Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Leandro Riedi
Gwangju Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 23
Pavel Kotov
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–61 matches
| Metric | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 56% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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