Daniel Merida vs Martin DammPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Martin Damm have met 1 time since 2026; Martin Damm leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 0 sets to Damm's 2. Their most recent meeting: Martin Damm won at HSBC Championships (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Martin Damm | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 29% | 18/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 53% | 19/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 51% | 19/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 0, Damm 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Damm
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Martin Damm.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 13, 2026
HSBC Championships
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Martin Damm | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 8% | 1/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -2.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -0.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 737 mi · 1,186 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Damm's 40%).
| Opponent | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | W 67 63 61 | L 62 36 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | W 75 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 36 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 36 62 30 | L 67 36 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 76 67 76 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | W 63 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 57 63 | W 60 76 |
| Toby Samuel | W 76 63 | L 67 26 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 46 62 62 | L 61 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Daniil Medvedev
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Abedallah Shelbayh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Arthur Rinderknech
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marco Trungelliti
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–65 matches
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.