Daniel Merida vs Martin DammPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Martin Damm have met 1 time since 2026; Martin Damm leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 0 sets to Damm's 2. Their most recent meeting: Martin Damm won at HSBC Championships (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Martin Damm | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 82% | 32/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 56% | 22/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 79% | 34/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 0, Damm 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Damm
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Martin Damm.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 13, 2026
HSBC Championships
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Damm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Martin Damm | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 20% | 2/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.39 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -22.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -3.19u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Damm has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Merida's 30%).
| Opponent | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | W 67 63 61 | L 62 36 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | W 75 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 67 36 | W 63 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 36 46 | L 46 64 46 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 46 36 62 30 | L 67 36 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 76 67 76 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | W 63 76 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 57 63 | W 60 76 |
| Max Houkes | L 63 36 46 | W 46 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Frances Tiafoe
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Daniil Medvedev
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Abedallah Shelbayh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–70 matches
| Metric | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 58% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Damm |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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