Daniel Merida vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Joel Schwaerzler have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 2 sets to Schwaerzler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Tiriac Open - Bucharest (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 44% | 27/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 33% | 12/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 55% | 17/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Schwaerzler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 31, 2026
Tiriac Open - Bucharest
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 86% | 18/21 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 57% | 12/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 12–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -2.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -0.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,324 mi · 2,131 km |
| Route | CHN | BUL → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Schwaerzler's 33%).
| Opponent | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | W 63 75 | L 46 64 46 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 76 67 76 |
| Toby Samuel | W 76 63 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jack Pinnington Jones
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Felix Balshaw
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Lucas Poullain
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Harry Wendelken
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alberto Barroso Campos
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Maxime Chazal
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Luca Potenza
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–61 matches
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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