Daniel Merida vs Joel SchwaerzlerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Joel Schwaerzler have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 2 sets to Schwaerzler's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 52% | 16/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 41% | 24/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Schwaerzler 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 30, 2026
Tiriac Open presented by UniCredit Bank
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Schwaerzler | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Joel Schwaerzler | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 6–7 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -21.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -2.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | 6,345 mi · 10,212 km |
| Route | — | POL → USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Schwaerzler's 50%).
| Opponent | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Choinski | W 63 75 | L 46 64 46 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 76 67 76 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 57 | L 57 63 36 |
| Toby Samuel | W 76 63 | L 67 67 |
| Sumit Nagal | L 36 16 | W 67 64 61 |
| Tiago Pereira | W 62 63 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–62 matches
| Metric | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Schwaerzler |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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