Daniel Merida vs Francesco MaestrelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Francesco Maestrelli have met 2 times since 2026; Daniel Merida leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 1 Challenger in 2026 on hard. Merida has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Merida leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 4 sets to Maestrelli's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 40% | 21/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 2, Maestrelli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maestrelli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Francesco Maestrelli.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 11, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 8, 2026
Tenerife 1 Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Maestrelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Francesco Maestrelli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 1–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -59.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -4.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Maestrelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Gentzsch | W 61 64 | L 46 46 |
| George Loffhagen | W 61 16 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Alexei Popyrin
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Juan Pablo Varillas
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Lukas Neumayer
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Ognjen Milic
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Max Basing
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Alexis Galarneau
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Gea
Ilkley Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Kimmer Coppejans
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–62 matches
| Metric | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 44% |
| Sets won | 57% | 44% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Maestrelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.