Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida Aguilar and Learner Tien have met 1 time since 2026; Learner Tien leads 1–0. Across all meetings Aguilar has taken 0 sets to Tien's 2. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida Aguilar | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 1/3 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 4/8 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 9/10 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 7/10 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida Aguilar 0, Tien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Aguilar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Learner Tien.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 12, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Aguilar | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida Aguilar | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 36% | 5/14 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.09 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +44.9% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Aguilar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Tien's 50%).
| Opponent | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Marin Cilic | W 36 61 61 | L 57 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 67 61 | W 64 36 61 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 62 57 62 | W 62 61 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 64 62 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zizou Bergs
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Draxl
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–63 matches
| Metric | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 79% | 68% |
| Sets won | 70% | 61% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Aguilar | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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