Daniel Jade vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Roanne Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 12:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.18 or shorter, Hugo Gaston has won 15 of 16 (94%). The price implied 86%, so Hugo Gaston has beaten it by 8 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hugo Gaston meets Daniel Jade in the first round of the Roanne Challenger on October 12 on hard court. Gaston sits at number 89 in the rankings while Jade is ranked 621st, a significant gap at this tier of professional tennis.
The two have never faced each other. Gaston has won 12 of 22 hard court matches in his recent sample, a 60% rate; Jade has gone 10-10 on the surface at 50%. Jade has played more frequently, competing in three matches over the past two weeks and winning six of his last ten overall. Gaston took only one match in the same span and has lost his last two, though he remains 12-8 on hard courts in the longer view.
Gaston operates as a counterpuncher, reading the court and using depth and positioning to neutralize opponents. Jade is an all-court player with the ability to attack from the baseline or finish at net. Success for Gaston depends on constructing points from the back of the court while Jade seeks to dictate and shorten rallies, a tactical divergence that shapes how the opening round unfolds.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jade | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Jade | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 14/38 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jade
🎾 All-Court
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Jade and Gaston have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jade | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Jade | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jade | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.73 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +24.2% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.42u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jade | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | FRA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jade's 0%).
| Opponent | Jade | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Glinka | L 36 57 | W |
| Martin Landaluce | L 64 16 36 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Etienne Donnet
M15 Rodez · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Kenny De Schepper
M15 Rodez · 1st Round
Oct 6
Daniil Glinka
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Mathys Domenc
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Ryan Peniston
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Monastir · Final
Aug 30
Mathys Domenc
M15 Monastir · Semifinals
Aug 29
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–60 matches
| Metric | Jade | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 57% |
| Sets won | 61% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |