Daniel Evans vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Kei Nishikori have met 3 times since 2017; Kei Nishikori leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Evans has taken 4 sets to Nishikori's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | -47.5% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.90u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nishikori has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Jade | L 46 46 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–14 matches
| Metric | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 57% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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