Daniel Evans vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Kei Nishikori have met 3 times since 2017; Kei Nishikori leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells in 2017 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Evans has taken 4 sets to Nishikori's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Evans and Kei Nishikori are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 280 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 27, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.70 |
| ROI % | - | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nishikori has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 16 26 | L 46 67 |
| Daniel Jade | L 46 46 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–21 matches
| Metric | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 52% |
| Sets won | 33% | 50% |
| Games won | 44% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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