Daniel Elahi Galan vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇨🇴Daniel Elahi Galan
#383 · 30 yrs · R
3w5 meetings · sets 6–4

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wDaniel Elahi Galan and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2018; Daniel Elahi Galan leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at L'Aquila in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Galan leads 3–1. Across all meetings Galan has taken 6 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Firenze Open - Florence (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 3, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🏹 Frontrunner
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2022
Firenze Open - Florence
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 12, 2021
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Dec 5, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 27, 2020
Lima Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 13, 2018
L'Aquila
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 910 mi · 1,465 km | — |
| Route | POL → BUL | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Galan's 17%).
| Opponent | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L 06 36 | W 63 76 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L | L |
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 46 76 76 | W 64 64 |
| Gilles Arnaud Bailly | L 67 26 | L 67 76 26 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 76 67 46 | L 64 57 36 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 46 64 36 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–48 matches
| Metric | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 51% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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