Damir Dzumhur vs Daniel Merida AguilarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ฆDamir Dzumhur
#103 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ช๐ธDaniel Merida Aguilar
Unranked
8w3Damir Dzumhur and Daniel Merida Aguilar have met 1 time since 2026; Daniel Merida Aguilar leads 1โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Aguilar leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 1 sets to Aguilar's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida Aguilar won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Merida Aguilar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Daniel Merida Aguilar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 90% | 9/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 0, Merida Aguilar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
๐ช Counterpuncher
Aguilar
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ช Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Damir Dzumhur.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 18, 2026
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Aguilar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Daniel Merida Aguilar | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3โ5 | 7โ3 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -29.0% | +47.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.32u | +4.73u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 1 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | POR | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Aguilar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dzumhur's 33%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 26 16 | L 36 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 46 | W 63 61 |
| Liam Draxl | W 75 60 64 | W 36 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Final
Jul 18
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zizou Bergs
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 15
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Liam Draxl
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 14โ57 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 79% |
| Sets won | 45% | 70% |
| Games won | 48% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Aguilar |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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