Dalibor Svrcina vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dalibor Svrcina and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2025; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Svrcina has taken 0 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Montpellier (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svrcina | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dalibor Svrcina | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svrcina 0, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svrcina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 26, 2025
Montpellier
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svrcina | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dalibor Svrcina | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +5.9% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Svrcina's 56%).
| Opponent | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Billy Harris | W 46 76 75 | W 75 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 63 57 57 62 | L 61 57 26 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 46 26 | W 63 76 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | L 67 61 46 | L 36 26 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 46 26 | W 36 63 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 67 75 105 | W 63 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 26 36 | W 46 63 76 |
| Felix Gill | W 67 61 63 | W 46 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 76 64 | L 36 61 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Cameron Norrie
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Yoshihito Nishioka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Billy Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rio Noguchi
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Philip Sekulic
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–62 matches
| Metric | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 62% |
| Sets won | 54% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svrcina | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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