Cristina Bucsa vs Dayana YastremskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#38 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
32 meetings · sets 1–4
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Dayana Yastremska have met 2 times since 2022; Dayana Yastremska leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Open 6 Sens - Lyon in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Yastremska leads 2–0. Yastremska has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 1 sets to Yastremska's 4. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuhan Open - Wuhan
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.72 or shorter, Dayana Yastremska has won 80 of 137 (58%). The price implied 62%, so Dayana Yastremska has fallen 4 points short of it.
At 2.11 or longer, Cristina Bucsa has won 26 of 89 (29%). The price implied 38%, so Cristina Bucsa has fallen 9 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Cristina Bucsa meets Dayana Yastremska in the 1st Round of the Wuhan Open on October 12 on hard court. Bucsa ranks 38th globally; Yastremska sits at 103rd.
Yastremska leads their head-to-head 2-0. On hard courts, Bucsa has posted an 11-9 record while Yastremska stands at 7-13. Bucsa has won 60% of her last five and last ten matches but arrives on a two-match losing streak after nine days off. Yastremska has played three matches in fourteen days yet won only 40% of her recent outings; she is on a one-match losing streak.
Bucsa builds points methodically and sustains pressure through rallies, while Yastremska attacks aggressively from the baseline. Against shared opponents including Alexandra Eala and Jasmine Paolini, Bucsa prevailed where Yastremska fell short. The match asks Bucsa to maintain her court control against Yastremska's power striking, and asks Yastremska to sustain that aggression across a full match despite limited recent match wins.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/41 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Yastremska 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 3, 2022
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | -14.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -0.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU → CZE | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Yastremska has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Bucsa's 43%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | W 63 61 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 60 64 | W 61 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 64 | L 57 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 62 67 57 | W 63 62 |
| Marina Stakusic | W 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 16 | L 16 46 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 76 26 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 18
Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Panna Udvardy
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Bianca Andreescu
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sara Bejlek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–42 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 45% |
| Sets won | 50% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |