Cristian Garin vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Jan Choinski have met 2 times since 2024; Cristian Garin leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Braga Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Garin leads 2–0. Garin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garin has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 2, 2024
Braga Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -2.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Choinski's 50%).
| Opponent | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 67 76 67 |
| Alex Barrena | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 60 | L 46 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–68 matches
| Metric | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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