Cristian Garin vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฑCristian Garin
#135 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
14w2 meetings ยท sets 4โ2

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3TitleCristian Garin and Jan Choinski have met 2 times since 2024; Cristian Garin leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Braga Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Garin leads 2โ0. Garin has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garin has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cristian Garin won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 22/40 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
๐ช Counterpuncher
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 5, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 2, 2024
Braga Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 18โ9 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.90 |
| ROI % | - | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 4 |
| Matches | โ | 5 |
| Distance | โ | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km |
| Route | โ | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Garin and Choinski posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 67 76 67 |
| Alex Barrena | W 62 64 | W 63 62 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 75 60 | L 46 67 |
| Henri Squire | L 61 46 36 | W 67 75 75 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 61 76 |
| Ivan Gakhov | W 63 63 | W 46 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome ยท 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Apr 30
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ78 matches
| Metric | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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