Connor Thomson vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Connor Thomson and Karl Poling have met 1 time since 2025; Karl Poling leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 0 sets to Poling's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Drummondville (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Connor Thomson | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 2/3 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/3 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 1/6 | 45% | 30/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/2 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 2/3 | 68% | 27/40 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 40% | 14/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 55% | 18/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 0, Poling 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
🤖 Servebot
Poling
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Connor Thomson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 10, 2025
Drummondville
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.64 |
| ROI % | - | -16.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | — | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dusan Obradovic
Split Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 22
Dusan Obradovic
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Karl Poling
Drummondville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 10
Oliver Bonding
Drummondville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Luca Castagnola
M25 Monastir 8 · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Yanki Erel
M25 Monastir 8 · 1st Round
Oct 14
Maxim Shin
M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Patrick Zahraj
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Nikola Slavic
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–67 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 48% |
| Sets won | 46% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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