Connor Thomson vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Connor Thomson and Karl Poling have met 1 time since 2025; Karl Poling leads 1–0. Across all meetings Thomson has taken 0 sets to Poling's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Drummondville (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thomson | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Connor Thomson | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 3/4 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 2/9 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/3 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 61% | 19/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thomson 0, Poling 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thomson
💥 Big Hitter
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Connor Thomson.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 10, 2025
Drummondville
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.35 |
| ROI % | - | +71.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +13.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Thomson and Poling posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Hernandez | L 26 26 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dusan Obradovic
Memorijal Mile Moralic - Split Open Jolly Autoline · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Karl Poling
Drummondville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 10
Oliver Bonding
Drummondville · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 9
Luca Castagnola
M25 Monastir 8 · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Yanki Erel
M25 Monastir 8 · 1st Round
Oct 14
Maxim Shin
M25 Sharm ElSheikh 4 · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alec Deckers
M25 Setubal 1 · 2nd Round
Sep 18
Giles Hussey
M25 Setubal 1 · 1st Round
Sep 17
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–65 matches
| Metric | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 52% |
| Sets won | 45% | 51% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thomson | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.