Colton Smith vs Hugo GastonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Colton Smith and Hugo Gaston have met 1 time since 2026; Hugo Gaston leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 1 sets to Gaston's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Gaston won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colton Smith | Hugo Gaston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 14/34 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 18/30 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Gaston 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Gaston
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Gaston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colton Smith | Hugo Gaston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -36.1% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | -0.30u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 103 mi · 165 km |
| Route | USA | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gaston has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Smith's 50%).
| Opponent | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Duncan Chan | W 62 64 | L 62 57 36 |
| Jaime Faria | L 16 63 36 | W 46 76 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 67 57 | W 64 64 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 46 63 64 | L 16 36 |
| Andre Ilagan | W 46 63 76 | W 61 63 |
| Felix Gill | L 57 75 26 | L 67 76 26 |
| Keegan Smith | W 76 61 | W 36 63 62 |
| Arthur Fery | L 64 46 16 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aidan Mayo
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Stefan Kozlov
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hugo Gaston
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Jerome Kym
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Andrea Pellegrino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Felix Gill
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jaime Faria
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Sho Shimabukuro
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Colton Smith
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Andre Ilagan
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Guido Ivan Justo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 57% |
| Sets won | 50% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Gaston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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