Colin Sinclair vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฒ๐ตColin Sinclair
#495 ยท 31 yrs ยท R
1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ฏ๐ตNaoki Nakagawa
#773 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4Colin Sinclair and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2026; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Sinclair has taken 1 sets to Nakagawa's 2. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinclair | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Colin Sinclair | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 30/43 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 24/72 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 17/27 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 51% | 22/43 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinclair 0, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinclair
๐ค Servebot
Nakagawa
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Colin Sinclair and Naoki Nakagawa are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinclair | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Colin Sinclair | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | -18.9% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.45u | -0.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | KAZ | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Nakagawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (20% vs Sinclair's 0%).
| Opponent | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Takuya Kumasaka | L 26 67 | L 57 57 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 36 36 | L 67 26 |
| Jumpei Yamasaki | L 67 36 | L 36 16 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | L 64 46 06 | W 61 64 |
| Cruz Hewitt | L 67 46 | L 46 63 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Koki Matsuda
Samsun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Mert Alkaya
Samsun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Matt Hulme
M25 Brisbane ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Shinji Hazawa
M25 Brisbane ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Wihan Van Der Merwe
M25 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 15
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jun 18
Saki Tange
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 36โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinclair | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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