Cleeve Harper vs Naoki NakagawaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆCleeve Harper
#1735 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
21w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ฏ๐ตNaoki Nakagawa
#773 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4Cleeve Harper and Naoki Nakagawa have met 1 time since 2025; Cleeve Harper leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Harper has taken 2 sets to Nakagawa's 0. Their most recent meeting: Cleeve Harper won at Cancun (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harper | Nakagawa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cleeve Harper | Naoki Nakagawa | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 14% | 1/7 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 2/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 2/2 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 80% | 16/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 2/2 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harper 1, Nakagawa 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harper
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Nakagawa
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 11, 2025
Cancun
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Harper | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.15 |
| ROI % | - | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harper | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kilian Feldbausch
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Luis David Martinez
Elizabeth Moore Sarasota Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 6
Maxence Beauge
Challenger Cherbourg La Manche ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 8
Michael Mmoh
Drummondville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Nov 12
Adhithya Ganesan
Sioux Falls ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Arthur Reymond
Olbia ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Orel Kimhi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, CAN-ISR 4-0 ยท Rubber 4
Sep 13
Stan Wawrinka
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 7โ36 matches
| Metric | Harper | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 53% |
| Sets won | 33% | 53% |
| Games won | 41% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harper | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harper | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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