Christopher O'Connell vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov have met 4 times since 2022; Christopher O'Connell leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2022 on hard. On hard courts O'Connell leads 3–0. O'Connell has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 7 sets to Kotov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Christopher O'Connell won at Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/45 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 3, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 19, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2023
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2022
Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -72.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
O'Connell has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kotov's 20%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | L 57 26 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 76 76 | L 46 26 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 75 | L 67 57 |
| Yi Zhou | W 62 64 | W 61 20 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 26 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Joel Schwaerzler
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Final
Jun 20
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 19
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger · 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–47 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 68% |
| Sets won | 50% | 62% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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