Christopher O'Connell vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov have met 4 times since 2022; Christopher O'Connell leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Doha in 2022 on hard. On hard courts O'Connell leads 3–0. O'Connell has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 7 sets to Kotov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Christopher O'Connell won at Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 3, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Christopher O'Connell and Pavel Kotov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 19, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2023
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2022
Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | +3.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 11 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both O'Connell and Kotov posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 36 | W 36 63 76 |
| Remy Bertola | W 64 75 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–46 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 73% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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