Chase Ferguson vs Yuki MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Yuki Mochizuki have met 2 times since 2026; Chase Ferguson leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Brisbane in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Ferguson leads 2–0. Ferguson has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 4 sets to Mochizuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M25 Sapporo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 19% | 6/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 27/73 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 20/34 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 39/41 | 94% | 16/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 2, Mochizuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 10, 2026
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 14, 2026
M25 Brisbane
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Yuki Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 46% | 6/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | -26.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | -3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mochizuki's 20%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | L 36 16 | L 46 57 |
| Yunseong Chung | L 26 36 | W 64 64 |
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | W 60 60 |
| Fanming Meng | L 46 36 | L 36 16 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | L | L 36 63 06 |
| Moerani Bouzige | L 46 64 36 | L 61 57 26 |
| Shintaro Imai | W 63 46 63 | L 67 63 16 |
| Khumoyun Sultanov | W 64 46 64 | L 36 46 |
| Khumoun Sultanov | W 64 46 64 | L 36 46 |
| Ryo Tabata | W 63 57 62 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Makoto Ochi
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Kasidit Samrej
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Chuan En Hsu
M25 Taipei · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Shih Chieh Lin
M25 Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Hiromasa Koyama
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Fanming Meng
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Tianjin · Final
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–73 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 40% |
| Sets won | 56% | 41% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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