Chase Ferguson vs Riku TakahataPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Riku Takahata have met 1 time since 2026; Chase Ferguson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 2 sets to Takahata's 0. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M25 Sapporo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Takahata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Riku Takahata | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 27/73 | 24% | 9/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 20/34 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 39/41 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 88% | 15/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 1, Takahata 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Takahata
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 143 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chase Ferguson.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
M25 Sapporo
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Takahata | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Riku Takahata | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.84 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | -44.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | -3.14u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Takahata's 14%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | L 36 16 | L 36 36 |
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | W 64 26 1210 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | W 76 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jake Delaney | L 26 76 67 | L 46 16 |
| Yuta Tomida | W 62 64 | L 36 06 |
| Taiyo Yamanaka | W 36 75 64 | L 16 46 |
| Ryo Tabata | W 63 57 62 | L 57 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Chase Ferguson
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Takumi Katsuda
M25 Sapporo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Tokitaka Ito
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Noritaka Koizumi
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Masaki Ishikawa
M25 Urayasu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Kotaro Matsumura
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Ofek Shimanov
M15 Astana · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Mikhail Khodorchenko
M15 Astana · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–73 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 46% |
| Sets won | 56% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Takahata |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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