Chase Ferguson vs Noritaka KoizumiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Noritaka Koizumi have met 1 time since 2026; Chase Ferguson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 2 sets to Koizumi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M15 Wuning (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Koizumi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Noritaka Koizumi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 13% | 1/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/69 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 12/31 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 13/17 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 41/43 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 25/43 | 75% | 6/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 1, Koizumi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🛡️ The Spoiler
Koizumi
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
M15 Wuning
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Koizumi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Noritaka Koizumi | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | -1.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Koizumi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ferguson's 25%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 60 | L 16 06 |
| Jake Delaney | L 26 76 67 | W 36 64 64 |
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | L 26 26 | L 76 06 06 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 46 | W 36 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yunseong Chung
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Derek Pham
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Scott Jones
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Masamichi Imamura
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 20
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James Van Herzeele
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Daniil Sarksian
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Wuning · Semifinals
Jul 11
James Van Herzeele
M15 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–69 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Koizumi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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