Chase Ferguson vs Minghui ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Minghui Zhang have met 1 time since 2026; Chase Ferguson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 2 sets to Zhang's 1. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M25 Guiyang (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Minghui Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 27/73 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 20/34 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 39/41 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Zhang
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 56% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 34 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chase Ferguson.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
M25 Guiyang
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 5.09 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Zhang's 0%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | L 36 46 |
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | L 57 26 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Kazuki Nakajima
M25 Luan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kosuke Ogura
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Chase Ferguson
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 7
Ryuichiro Nakano
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Pol Shifer
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 20–73 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 35% |
| Sets won | 56% | 40% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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