Chase Ferguson vs Keisuke SaitohPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Keisuke Saitoh have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Kashiwa 1 in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 2 sets to Saitoh's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keisuke Saitoh won at M25 Urayasu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 7/27 | 13% | 3/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/71 | 25% | 16/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 13/32 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 19/32 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 40/42 | 97% | 36/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 25/42 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 1, Saitoh 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Saitoh
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 958 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chase Ferguson.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
M25 Urayasu
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2026
M15 Kashiwa 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Saitoh | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Keisuke Saitoh | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 16/20 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–10 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -9.7% | -12.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.04u | -1.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN | TPE → JPN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Saitoh's 33%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 46 61 76 | L 67 06 |
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | W 61 64 |
| Moerani Bouzige | L 46 64 36 | L 67 46 |
| Enzo Aguiard | W 64 64 | L 36 16 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 46 | W 46 64 62 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 60 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yusuke Takahashi
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yunseong Chung
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Chase Ferguson
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sena Okabe
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Tsung-Hao Huang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sam Ryan Ziegann
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Aug 1
Sanhui Shin
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rafalentino Ali Da Costa
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 65% |
| Sets won | 57% | 60% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Saitoh |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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