Chase Ferguson vs Fumin JiangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Fumin Jiang have met 3 times since 2025; Chase Ferguson leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Maanshan 8 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Ferguson leads 3–0. Ferguson has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 6 sets to Jiang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M15 Maanshan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Jiang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Fumin Jiang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 27/73 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 20/34 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 39/41 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 58% | 7/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Jiang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Jiang
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 143 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chase Ferguson.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
M15 Maanshan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2025
M15 Maanshan 9
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 4, 2025
M15 Maanshan 8
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Jiang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Fumin Jiang | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 5.72 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | -29.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Jiang's 33%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Khumoun Sultanov | W 64 46 64 | L 46 36 |
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | W 76 62 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 46 | L 63 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Khumoun Sultanov
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Qian Sun
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Isaac Becroft
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Jaesung Choe
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Kayseri · 1st Round
Jun 24
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
Futures 2026
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–73 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 37% |
| Sets won | 56% | 39% |
| Games won | 51% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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