Chase Ferguson vs Fumin JiangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Fumin Jiang have met 3 times since 2025; Chase Ferguson leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Maanshan 8 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Ferguson leads 3–0. Ferguson has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 6 sets to Jiang's 3. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M15 Maanshan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Jiang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Fumin Jiang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 33% | 6/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/69 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 12/31 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 41/43 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 25/43 | 60% | 6/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Jiang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🛡️ The Spoiler
Jiang
🏃 Pusher
Matchup analysis
The 🛡️ The Spoiler archetype wins about 58% vs 🏃 Pusher across 28 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Chase Ferguson.
The Spoiler players often use strong court coverage and strong retrieval to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 28, 2026
M15 Maanshan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2025
M15 Maanshan 9
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 4, 2025
M15 Maanshan 8
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Jiang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Fumin Jiang | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 3.56 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | +67.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | +6.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Ferguson and Jiang posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Yuta Kawahashi | L 36 46 | L 63 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yunseong Chung
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Derek Pham
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Scott Jones
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chase Ferguson
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Qian Sun
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Dong Ju Kim
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Isaac Becroft
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Jaesung Choe
M15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kerem Yilmaz
M15 Kayseri · 1st Round
Jun 24
Dmitry Dolzhenkov
Futures 2026
Jun 23
Ammar Alhogbani
M15 Kayseri · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–69 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 38% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Jiang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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