Chase Ferguson vs Duje MarkovinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Duje Markovina have met 1 time since 2026; Duje Markovina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 1 sets to Markovina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Duje Markovina won at M15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Markovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Duje Markovina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 24% | 5/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/69 | 37% | 14/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 12/31 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 13/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 41/43 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 25/43 | 50% | 8/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Markovina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🛡️ The Spoiler
Markovina
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Duje Markovina.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
M15 Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Markovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Duje Markovina | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 21% | 3/14 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | +25.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | +3.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Markovina's 0%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Delaney | L 26 76 67 | L 75 26 36 |
| Fitriadi M Rifqi | L 57 26 | L 57 67 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 60 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yunseong Chung
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Derek Pham
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Scott Jones
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ymerali Ibraimi
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
Chase Ferguson
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Blake Ellis
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ashton Mcleod
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jake Delaney
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 15
Andrey Chepelev
M25 Zagreb · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Jan Kumstat
M25 Zagreb · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–69 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 45% |
| Sets won | 58% | 43% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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