Chase Ferguson vs Duje MarkovinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Duje Markovina have met 1 time since 2026; Duje Markovina leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 1 sets to Markovina's 2. Their most recent meeting: Duje Markovina won at M15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Markovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Duje Markovina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 27/73 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 14/33 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 20/34 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 78% | 14/18 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 39/41 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Markovina 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🎾 All-Court
Markovina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Duje Markovina.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
M15 Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ferguson | Markovina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chase Ferguson | Duje Markovina | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 17/22 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -3.0% | +3.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.65u | +0.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ferguson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Markovina's 0%).
| Opponent | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Kohshi Ishibashi | W 64 76 | L 46 06 |
| Jake Delaney | L 26 76 67 | L 75 26 36 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 61 60 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Omar Jasika
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alibek Kachmazov
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 23
Yunseong Chung
M25 Guiyang · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sheng Tang
M25 Guiyang · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Zhenxiong Dong
M25 Guiyang · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Minghui Zhang
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Jerry Roddick
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Neo Niedner
M15 Fayetteville · 1st Round
Sep 30
Charlie Swaine
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Ymerali Ibraimi
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jake Delaney
M15 Brisbane · Semifinals
Jul 25
Chase Ferguson
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Blake Ellis
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ashton Mcleod
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jake Delaney
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–73 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 54% |
| Sets won | 56% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Markovina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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