Chase Ferguson vs Derek PhamPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chase Ferguson and Derek Pham have met 1 time since 2026; Chase Ferguson leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ferguson has taken 2 sets to Pham's 1. Their most recent meeting: Chase Ferguson won at M15 Brisbane (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ferguson | Pham | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chase Ferguson | Derek Pham | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/69 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 12/31 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 76% | 13/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 41/43 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 25/43 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ferguson 0, Pham 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ferguson
🛡️ The Spoiler
Pham
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
🛡️ The Spoiler vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 122 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 23, 2026
M15 Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Pham |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -15.8% | -48.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.69u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ferguson | Pham |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rigele Te
M15 Maanshan · Semifinals
Aug 29
Fumin Jiang
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Hanyi Liu
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Yua Taka
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Yunseong Chung
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Derek Pham
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Scott Jones
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 21
Omar Jasika
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 28
Chase Ferguson
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Ymerali Ibraimi
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Micah Braswell
M25 Austin 1 · 2nd Round
Nov 20
Nathan Ponwith
M25 Austin 1 · 1st Round
Nov 19
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Norman 1 · 1st Round
Oct 22
Jeremy Jin
M15 Brisbane 1 · Semifinals
Aug 9
Jesse Delaney
M15 Brisbane 1 · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–69 matches
| Metric | Ferguson | Pham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 33% |
| Sets won | 58% | 36% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ferguson | Pham |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ferguson | Pham |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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