Caty Mcnally vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#64 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2025; Caty Mcnally leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2025 on grass. Mcnally has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mcnally leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 4 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 54% | 13/24 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 50% | 25/50 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 13, 2025
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +2.5% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mcnally has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 30%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 26 46 | L 26 57 |
| Yexin Ma | W 62 63 | W 61 67 64 |
| Katie Volynets | W 61 62 | W 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 76 57 06 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 36 64 46 | L 36 57 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 63 62 |
| Emma Navarro | W 46 60 64 | L 57 16 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 62 75 | L 46 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 36 06 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 63 75 | L 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Linda Noskova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Tatjana Maria
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Kristina Liutova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yexin Ma
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–60 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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