Caty Mcnally vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleCaty Mcnally and Tatjana Maria have met 2 times since 2025; Caty Mcnally leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hall of Fame Open - Newport in 2025 on grass. Mcnally has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Mcnally leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 4 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Caty Mcnally won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 13, 2025
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | — |
| Route | ROU → CZE | TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Mcnally and Maria posted a 44% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | L 36 46 | W 61 62 |
| Emma Navarro | L 63 26 36 | L 57 16 |
| Yexin Ma | W 62 63 | W 61 67 64 |
| Katie Volynets | W 61 62 | W 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 76 57 06 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 36 64 46 | L 36 57 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 63 62 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 62 75 | L 46 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–60 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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