Caty Mcnally vs Dayana YastremskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#70 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇺🇦Dayana Yastremska
#103 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Dayana Yastremska have met 2 times since 2021; Dayana Yastremska leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Yastremska leads 2–0. Yastremska has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 0 sets to Yastremska's 4. Their most recent meeting: Dayana Yastremska won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Yastremska 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🪃 Counterpuncher
Yastremska
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dayana Yastremska.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 30, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Yastremska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Dayana Yastremska | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -14.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -0.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mcnally has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Yastremska's 20%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | L 62 36 67 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | L 16 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | L 57 64 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 46 76 36 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 46 46 | L 64 46 57 |
| Solana Sierra | W 64 63 | W 63 75 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 06 | L 26 76 36 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 26 76 | L 06 16 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L 46 61 36 | W 26 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Sinja Kraus
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maja Chwalinska
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Caty Mcnally
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Janice Tjen
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 25
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aoi Ito
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–54 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 45% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Yastremska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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