Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nicolas BrunaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Maria Zarate and Nicolas Bruna have met 3 times since 2025; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at M15 Santiago 6 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 4 sets to Bruna's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 Trelew (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Bruna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Bruna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 38/55 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/84 | 39% | 22/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 38/50 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Bruna 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Bruna
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2026
M15 Trelew
H Hard · 1st Round
May 6, 2026
M25 Villa Maria
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 23, 2025
M15 Santiago 6
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Bruna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Nicolas Bruna | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 1–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 4.40 |
| ROI % | -10.0% | -84.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | -7.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Bruna's 20%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 16 | L 46 46 |
| Santiago Giamichelle | W 63 75 | L 26 46 |
| Manuel Mouilleron Salvo | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Maximo Zeitune | L 26 67 | L 46 64 26 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 62 63 |
| Juan Estevez | W 61 64 | L 26 67 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | L 26 61 46 | L 16 26 |
| Valerio Aboian | L 46 16 | L 26 64 26 |
| Lucio Ratti | W 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Murkel Dellien | W 61 26 63 | L 06 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Alan Magadan
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Rocco Valente
M15 Leme · 1st Round
Sep 8
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Maximo Zeitune
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 25
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Gonzalo Villanueva
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Fantino Alberca De Las Casas
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 36% |
| Sets won | 61% | 38% |
| Games won | 54% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Bruna |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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