Carlos Maria Zarate vs Lorenzo GagliardoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Maria Zarate and Lorenzo Gagliardo have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 2 sets to Gagliardo's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 San Salvador de Jujuy (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Gagliardo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Lorenzo Gagliardo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 36/55 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 29/85 | 31% | 13/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 17/23 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 36/50 | 75% | 18/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Gagliardo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Gagliardo
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Gagliardo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Lorenzo Gagliardo | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 23/27 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 3 or more | 44% | 12/27 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 2/27 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/27 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.57 |
| ROI % | +23.0% | -17.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.91u | -3.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA → ARG | PAR → ARG |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gagliardo's 40%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| Bastian Malla | W 26 63 63 | W 61 63 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 57 76 62 | L 26 46 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 61 60 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | L 26 61 46 | L 26 36 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | L 16 76 67 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Bastian Malla
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tomas Martinez
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Gonzalo Zeitune
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 25
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Bastian Malla
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Fermin Tenti
M15 Villa Constitucion · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–86 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 52% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Gagliardo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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