Carlos Maria Zarate vs Juan Bautista OteguiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Carlos Maria Zarate
#377 · 21 yrs · R
41 meeting · sets 2–0
🇦🇷Juan Bautista Otegui
#1420 · 27 yrs · R
Carlos Maria Zarate and Juan Bautista Otegui have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 2 sets to Otegui's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 La Plata 1 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Bautista Otegui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Juan Bautista Otegui | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 36/55 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 29/85 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 9/21 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 74% | 17/23 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 17/29 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 36/50 | 71% | 5/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Bautista Otegui 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Otegui
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 12, 2026
M15 La Plata 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | +23.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.91u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA → ARG | PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Otegui's 50%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martinez | W 64 61 | L 57 26 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 62 62 |
| Valerio Aboian | L 46 16 | L 64 46 46 |
| Tomas Farjat | W 61 00 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Bastian Malla
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tomas Martinez
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Nicolas Oliveira
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Gabriel Schenekenberg
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Alex Santino Nuñez Vera
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Boris Butulija
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
May 27
Tomas Martinez
M15 Punta del Este 2 · 2nd Round
Mar 26
Dario Acosta
M15 Punta del Este 2 · 1st Round
Mar 25
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Punta del Este 1 · 1st Round
Mar 18
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 La Plata 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 12
Joel Santiago Navarro
M15 La Plata 1 · 1st Round
Mar 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–86 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 33% |
| Sets won | 61% | 39% |
| Games won | 54% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Otegui |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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