Carlos Maria Zarate vs Felix CorwinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Maria Zarate and Felix Corwin have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Maria Zarate leads 1–0. Across all meetings Zarate has taken 2 sets to Corwin's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Maria Zarate won at M15 Trelew (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Maria Zarate | Corwin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Maria Zarate | Felix Corwin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 38/55 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 25/84 | 39% | 17/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 17/27 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 47/50 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 38/50 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Maria Zarate 1, Corwin 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zarate
🪃 Counterpuncher
Corwin
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Corwin.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
M15 Trelew
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zarate | Corwin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Maria Zarate | Felix Corwin | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 41% | 9/22 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 9% | 2/22 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -10.0% | -24.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.40u | -2.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | — |
| Route | ARG → BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zarate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Corwin's 50%).
| Opponent | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 26 16 | L 57 64 36 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 64 61 | W 63 76 |
| Leonel Cesar Castro | W 63 75 | W 61 62 |
| Bastian Malla | W 26 63 63 | L 36 67 |
| Kaua Emanuel Pereira Dos Santos | W 63 60 | W 63 62 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 36 76 16 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Trelew · Final
Sep 5
Felix Corwin
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Valentino Grippo
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Nicolas Bruna
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Final
Aug 30
Damir Zhalgasbay
M15 Ann Arbor · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Joshua Peck
M15 Ann Arbor · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Trelew · Semifinals
Sep 4
Tomas Martinez
M15 Trelew · Quarterfinals
Sep 3
Noah Schachter
M15 Trelew · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Leonel Cesar Castro
M15 Trelew · 1st Round
Sep 1
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Matisse Farzam
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–85 matches
| Metric | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 57% |
| Sets won | 61% | 55% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zarate | Corwin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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