Carlos Alcaraz and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 2 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Basel (2022).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Carlos Alcaraz and Pablo Carreno Busta are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit — across 6,218 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/10 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.20 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -13.0% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 67%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | W 63 76 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 57 75 75 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 62 63 | L 36 26 |
| Luca Nardi | W 61 64 | W 67 64 76 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | L 36 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 60 63 | W 64 26 76 |
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–57 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 89% | 67% |
| Sets won | 81% | 60% |
| Games won | 60% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
