Camila Osorio vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ดCamila Osorio
Unranked ยท 24 yrs ยท Right-Handed
9w3 meetings ยท sets 5โ3

๐ฉ๐ชTatjana Maria
#79 ยท 38 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Camila Osorio and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2024; Camila Osorio leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2024 on hard. On clay courts Osorio leads 2โ0. Osorio has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 5 sets to Maria's 3. Their most recent meeting: Camila Osorio won at Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Osorio | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camila Osorio | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 9/16 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 13/31 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 14/15 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Osorio 1, Maria 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
๐ช Counterpuncher
Maria
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 4, 2025
Bogota
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 5, 2024
Bogota
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 16, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard ยท Round of 128
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ2 | 17โ8 |
| Avg odds | 2.77 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -50.0% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.50u | +2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Osorio has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Maria's 50%).
| Opponent | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W 46 76 63 | L 16 26 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 75 67 75 | W 64 64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 60 63 | W 62 61 |
| Marie Bouzkova | L 36 46 | L 57 06 |
| Janice Tjen | W 63 36 60 | W 63 62 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 75 75 | W 64 63 |
| Sloane Stephens | W 64 61 | L 61 67 46 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 46 60 67 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon ยท Round of 64
Jul 2
Simona Waltert
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Ajla Tomljanovic
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Yulia Putintseva
Roland Garros ยท Round of 64
May 27
Anna Kalinskaya
Roland Garros ยท Round of 32
May 27
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Roland Garros ยท Round of 128
May 26
Panna Udvardy
Rabat ยท Quarterfinals
May 22
Janice Tjen
Rabat ยท Round of 16
May 21
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport ยท Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ60 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 50% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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