Braden Shick vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Braden Shick and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2026; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shick has taken 0 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shick | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Braden Shick | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 50/71 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 27/94 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 30/53 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 17/29 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 15/24 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 61/63 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 50/63 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shick 0, Mochizuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shick
💥 Big Hitter
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Braden Shick.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shick | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Braden Shick | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -6.3% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.75u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | USA | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shick's 40%).
| Opponent | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| J.J. Wolf | L 46 76 46 | L 26 62 36 |
| Clement Tabur | W 64 75 | W 16 75 26 63 61 |
| Liam Draxl | L 26 36 | L 06 36 |
| Johannus Monday | L 46 46 | W 64 76 |
| Duncan Chan | W 64 63 | W 62 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Ozan Baris
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Patrick Maloney
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Erik Arutiunian
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Shintaro Mochizuki
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Clement Tabur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–95 matches
| Metric | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 40% |
| Sets won | 69% | 43% |
| Games won | 57% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shick | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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