Botic van de Zandschulp vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Botic van de Zandschulp and Joao Fonseca have met 3 times since 2024; Joao Fonseca leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 2–1. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 20/28 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 16/23 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 13/23 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 22/28 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Fonseca 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
💥 Big Hitter
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Joao Fonseca are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
European Open - Brussels
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 12, 2024
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard · Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–7 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +30.4% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.70u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zandschulp's 40%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 57 16 | L 57 76 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 57 | L 46 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | W 76 75 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 62 36 63 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 06 64 36 63 67 | L 36 36 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 36 46 67 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 76 63 | W 76 64 62 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 75 46 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 75 63 | W 57 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Michelsen
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jie Cui
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Valentin Royer
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Johan Alexander Rodriguez
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 10
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–64 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 63% |
| Sets won | 54% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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