Botic van de Zandschulp vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#71 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 2โ4

๐ง๐ทJoao Fonseca
#26 ยท 20 yrs ยท R
Botic van de Zandschulp and Joao Fonseca have met 3 times since 2024; Joao Fonseca leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Fonseca leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 4. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 1, Fonseca 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Fonseca
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Joao Fonseca are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Oct 14, 2025
European Open - Brussels
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 12, 2024
Davis Cup, Group A, Bologna
H Hard ยท Rubber 1
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Zandschulp's 40%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 57 | L 46 36 67 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 64 76 | W 76 75 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 62 36 63 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 06 64 36 63 67 | L 36 36 36 |
| Tommy Paul | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 36 46 67 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 76 63 | W 76 64 62 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 75 46 46 | W 46 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 75 63 | W 57 64 63 |
| Eliot Spizzirri | L 57 06 | L 46 62 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 41โ58 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 63% |
| Sets won | 51% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.