Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ณ๐ฑBotic van de Zandschulp
#71 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3TitleBotic van de Zandschulp and Jan Choinski have met 2 times since 2018; Botic van de Zandschulp leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Scheveningen in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Zandschulp leads 2โ0. Zandschulp has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Zandschulp has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 0. Their most recent meeting: Botic van de Zandschulp won at Braunschweig Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 ยท 4:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 3.90 or longer, Jan Choinski has won 0 of 12 matches, 0% against a fair-price expectation of 18%.
Priced around 1.25 or shorter, Botic van de Zandschulp has won 37 of 43 matches, 86% against a fair-price expectation of 81%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Botic van de Zandschulp and Jan Choinski meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | van de Zandschulp | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Botic van de Zandschulp | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/52 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 13/23 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 14/23 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 22/27 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (van de Zandschulp 2, Choinski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zandschulp
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Botic van de Zandschulp and Jan Choinski are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2025
Braunschweig Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jul 9, 2018
Scheveningen
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zandschulp | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Botic van de Zandschulp | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ7 | 18โ9 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.25u | +1.53u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zandschulp has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Choinski's 13%).
| Opponent | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Taro Daniel | W 76 64 | L 46 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 64 63 | L 67 76 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 57 | L 76 26 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 62 36 63 | L 64 36 67 |
| Roman Safiullin | L 06 64 36 63 67 | L 26 36 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 02 | W 16 63 76 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 75 63 | L 67 36 |
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | W 76 63 | L 46 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Luciano Darderi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Joao Fonseca
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Jakub Mensik
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 10
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daniil Medvedev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ78 matches
| Metric | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 63% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zandschulp | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |