Blake Ellis vs Federico GaioPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Blake Ellis and Federico Gaio have met 1 time since 2024; Blake Ellis leads 1–0. Across all meetings Ellis has taken 2 sets to Gaio's 0. Their most recent meeting: Blake Ellis won at Sassuolo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ellis | Gaio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Blake Ellis | Federico Gaio | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 8/21 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 20/43 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 9/20 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 18/28 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ellis 1, Gaio 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ellis
🤖 Servebot
Gaio
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 1,590 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Blake Ellis.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 16, 2024
Sassuolo
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ellis | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | - |
| ROI % | -35.2% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.17u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ellis | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | VIE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arjun Mehrotra
M25 Darwin · 1st Round
Sep 30
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Max Purcell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Benjamin O'Connell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hayden Jones
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Reece Falck
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Sep 1
Duje Markovina
M15 Brisbane · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Federico Arnaboldi
Modena Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 2
Filippo Romano
Modena · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 1
Alessandro Dragoni
Modena · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Ivan Gakhov
Milan Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 27
Egor Gerasimov
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 26
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Milan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Blake Mott
Milan · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 23
Blake Ellis
Sassuolo · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–43 matches
| Metric | Ellis | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | - |
| Sets won | 49% | - |
| Games won | 48% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ellis | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ellis | Gaio |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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