Billy Harris vs Pablo Carreno BustaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Billy Harris and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 1 time since 2026; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Harris has taken 0 sets to Busta's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Harris | Carreno Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Billy Harris | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 11/20 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 15/37 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 24/57 | 46% | 24/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 6/18 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 21/36 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 13/37 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 11/22 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Harris 0, Carreno Busta 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Harris
💥 Big Hitter
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 15, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Harris | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Billy Harris | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–10 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | -38.0% | -9.8% |
| Units P/L | -5.69u | -1.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 6,448 mi · 10,377 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | FRA → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Harris's 50%).
| Opponent | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 64 67 64 | W 63 64 |
| Yi Zhou | W 16 76 62 63 | W 75 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 16 76 46 | L 36 64 26 |
| Martin Damm | W 26 76 76 | W 63 63 |
| Francisco Comesana | L 36 46 | W 64 63 |
| Luka Pavlovic | L 46 36 | W 36 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Felix Balshaw
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Murphy Cassone
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Ugo Blanchet
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Moez Echargui
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Hugo Grenier
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Felix Balshaw
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches
| Metric | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 36% | 62% |
| Sets won | 40% | 58% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Harris | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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