Bernard Tomic vs Spencer JohnsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊBernard Tomic
#179 Β· 33 yrs Β· R
52 meetings Β· sets 3β3

πΊπΈSpencer Johnson
#444 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
3wBernard Tomic and Spencer Johnson have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1β1. Their first meeting came at Fairfield Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 3 sets to Johnson's 3. Their most recent meeting: Bernard Tomic won at Lincoln Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Johnson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Spencer Johnson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 18/31 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 23/55 | 24% | 10/41 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 14/27 | 73% | 24/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 17/28 | 83% | 5/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 13/27 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 18/29 | 85% | 28/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 0, Johnson 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
π₯ Big Hitter
Johnson
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Bernard Tomic and Spencer Johnson are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 18, 2026
Lincoln Challenger
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Oct 10, 2023
Fairfield Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Johnson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Spencer Johnson | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 96% | 26/27 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 93% | 25/27 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 82% | 22/27 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 26% | 7/27 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 11% | 3/27 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/27 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β6 | 28β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +25.8% | +23.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | +7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Tomic and Johnson posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 61 60 | L 46 46 |
| Moez Echargui | W 36 75 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alafia Ayeni | L 67 67 | W 36 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Edward Winter
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karen Khachanov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Mark Lajal
Lincoln Challenger Β· Final
Jul 20
Spencer Johnson
Lincoln Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Matthew Forbes
Lincoln Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
James McCabe
Lincoln Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andre Ilagan
Lexington Challenger Β· Semifinals
Aug 8
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Lexington Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 7
Andres Martin
Lexington Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Moez Echargui
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Coleman Wong
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Bernard Tomic
Lincoln Challenger Β· Semifinals
Jul 18
Coleman Wong
Lincoln Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
J.J. Wolf
Lincoln Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β55 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 80% |
| Sets won | 54% | 77% |
| Games won | 51% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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