Bernard Tomic vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Bernard Tomic and Pavel Kotov have met 1 time since 2026; Pavel Kotov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tomic has taken 0 sets to Kotov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tomic | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Bernard Tomic | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 19/33 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 12/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 12/27 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 23/28 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 19/28 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tomic 0, Kotov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tomic
🤖 Servebot
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Bernard Tomic and Pavel Kotov are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 19, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tomic | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Bernard Tomic | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 22/23 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 19/23 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 35% | 8/23 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 4% | 1/23 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +24.6% | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | +5.91u | +3.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 11 |
| Distance | 1,578 mi · 2,540 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Tomic's 67%).
| Opponent | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | W 64 67 63 | W 76 36 63 |
| Marat Sharipov | L 26 46 | L 06 36 |
| Jake Delaney | W 63 62 | W 76 76 |
| Akira Santillan | W 64 64 | W 64 76 |
| Mark Lajal | W 46 76 76 | W 36 64 64 |
| Borna Gojo | L 36 64 46 | W 64 36 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Timofey Skatov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Terence Atmane
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Yuta Shimizu
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Fajing Sun
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Fajing Sun
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Rigele Te
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–58 matches
| Metric | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 73% |
| Sets won | 54% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tomic | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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